Ingabe dollar iwe? the Isibikezelo dollar

Lapho ixoxa ochwepheshe abazimele yayisobala ngempela ukuthi iningi abantu bakhathazekile umbuzo ukuthi zinjalo yini dollar uyowa. isithakazelo waseRussia izakhamizi kwasekuqaleni ngenxa yokuthi ukuthi US dollar exchange rate inquma izindleko ukungena, futhi ngenxa yalokho, intengo iningi labantu imikhiqizo. Kukhona ubuhlobo silula. Izindleko eziphezulu zokuthola izidingo igolide black inikeza inflow zamadola emakethe yasekhaya, Ruble uye waqinisa ngenkuthalo, futhi abakhileyo ezweni ungakwazi ukuthenga izimpahla ngemali ephansi. Uma intengo kawoyela uwela, isithombe siba okuphambene ngokuphelele, futhi izinga lokuphila is sanciphisa kangcono.

Ukuguquguquka isabelomali 2015

Ngo-November 2014 kwaba sobala ngempela ukuthi ukulungiswa isabelomali 2015 hhayi eduze zivumelana ngokoqobo. Imali esebenzile kuhlelwe Ngenxa yokuthi emgqonyeni igolide black izobiza emakethe izwe hhayi ngemali engaphansi kwamaRandi ayishumi 96. Kususelwa kule Inkomba, i-dollar emabhange phakathi 2015 kumele singeqi ruble 37. ukumangala Okungalindelekile Sekwenzekile ngoNovemba 2014. Ngesikhathi US dollar exchange rate kwakuhambelana nokuka ruble angu-48. Maphakathi no-December ngomnyaka ofanayo, wavuka ruble angu-60. Isiqongo yafinyelelwa ngo sibalo cishe 68 ruble. Phakathi nenhlekelele kaNcibijane, ochwepheshe international futhi akazange alinge ukukhuluma sokuwa course. Izibikezelo abangu kugxile ukukhula obengeziwe lwemali. Abanye ochwepheshe wathi ngokufinyelela uphawu ruble 100 dollar ngalinye. Akukhona nje ukwehla lamafutha, kodwa futhi nezinye izinto eziyisisekelo baye baba izimfanelo ukuze ukuphelisa ituthuko engakalungi.

Yini isimo nge kwesabelo sezimali?

Ongoti, ikhumbula ukungeneli kwesabelo sezimali ngenxa inflow ukuncipha izimali zakwamanye amazwe ngenxa ukuwa kwamanani kawoyela, inkulumo ka a kungenzeka, nakuba engeyena umuntu alulame ngokugcwele. Kukhona zombili izimfanelo ezibalulekile ziwe, nazo ekukhuleni lwemali. Konke kuzoncika kanjani isimo uzoqhubeka emakethe uwoyela global. Nakuba singase sithi esikhathini esizayo esiseduze dollar ziyokuwa kancane eRussia, okuyinto kuhlobene ukuvuselelwa izindleko igolide elimnyama. Ngenkathi ezinkulu uwoyela-labaholako yezwe ukubuyisela izinqolobane zayo zezimali emva drawdown emikhulu, dollar izoyenqaba. Uma enza ngalo manje sifana ruble 54,5 dollar ngalinye, ungalindela ukuba udedele ruble 46-48. Ephoqelela isimo okungekuhle kwentengo kawoyela, manje okuyinto ngidayisa ngesikhathi 66,6 zamaRandi umphongolo ngesikhathi uptrend enamandla, siyasibona kakade ukuthi dollar ziyowa emakethe. Ngesikhathi esifanayo ngo-June, aphethwe umhlangano obalulekile-United iLungu OPEC okungasekelwa kuwo izinqumo zizokwenziwa, okuyinto ukudlala indima ebalulekile zamanani emakethe uwoyela, ngakho-ke, kuthinte dollar eRussia.

isimo sezombusazwe kudide

Imininingwane siye samenyezelwa ngokuphindaphindiwe nabezindaba bakwamanye amazwe ukuthi emva wadla eCrimea nokungqubuzana parallel empumalanga ye-Ukraine, yalahla iRussia abangu ajeziswe kanzima. Bona kakhulu hit emikhakheni eminingi yomnotho kanye wanithwesa nomthelela omubi isimo sezimali kuleli zwe. zithinteka kakhulu umkhiqizo kawoyela kanye umkhakha lempi, ukuqhutshwa akha ingxenye enkulu yomsebenzi isabelomali isimo nokuthi asekelwe dollar eRussia ezingeni elikhulu. Inkinga eyinhloko yokuntuleka amathuba ukuboleka ezikhungweni zezimali angaphandle. Inkokhelo Ukukhokhwa loans ngaphambilini eyakhishwa ukuphoqa uhulumeni ngenkuthalo ukuthenga zamadola, okuyinto ngokuzenzakalelayo kuholela amanani aphezulu.

Iziphi izibikezelo zingenziwa ngokuhlaziya inqubomgomo Russia?

Ukuze siphendule umbuzo ngabe dollar ziyokuwa, esekelwe isimo sezombusazwe kuleliya lizwe, kuyinkinga kakhulu. Unswinyo, yalahla iRussia hhayi nje emazweni aseNtshonalanga ungalukhanseli, kodwa kwezinye izindawo some. Ukungakwazi ukuthatha ezishibhile zakwamanye amazwe ukubolekisa kulekelelwa ukufuduka kwabasebenzi zimali angaphandle kusuka ezweni lonke, okwakuhilela ubephelezelwa i outflow ka izimali zakwamanye amazwe. Ukonakala nengcindezi enamandla evela kuziphathimandla kwibhizinisi okubangelwa ukudluliselwa kwebhizinisi basekhaya sogu lolwandle. Zonke lezi amaqiniso zisikisela ukuthi dollar amabhange esikhathini esifushane ngeke kushintshe kakhulu. Ake sithi-ke ukubuyela emuva ku isizinda ukwanda kancane kwamanani kawoyela, kodwa izinguquko ezinkulu, abahlaziyi musa batusa ukulinda kuze ukukhathala we izingxabano njengoba Ukraine futhi emazweni Europe naseMelika.

Isibikezelo isekelwe emicimbini yomphakathi yasekhaya

Ngaphezu izici zangaphandle, New Year uwa ngonyaka odlule sika seluqaliwe futhi izinkinga isimo sangaphakathi. Kule minyaka engu-15 edlule izwe ayizange iphathwe ukushintsha imodeli kwezomnotho yoqobo lwanamuhla. Embonini kawoyela cishe walidla loke lezo zidingo abanazo kanye ukusatshalaliswa kwezimali phakathi isimo izingxenye zomnotho kwaba engalingani. ukuthuthukiswa ngokweqile embonini kawoyela kuye kwaholela ukwehla kweminye imikhakha yezomnotho. Ngenxa yalokho, sakwazi ukubona dollar eliphezulu kakhulu. Isibikezelo ukwazisa obengeziwe lwemali US kungenziwa, kusukela yokuthi okwamanje yezinguquko kwesakhiwo ngenkathi akekho ophethe. Ngaphandle kabusha eyisisekelo emnothweni ngeke zishintshe, futhi ngenxa yalokho izinga lokushintshisana izohlala uqine ngokwanele.

Yini Kunzima ukuqagela?

imicabango yabantu Isazi ku umbuzo ukuthi luyoba khona dollar ukuwa kakhulu washintsha kakhulu. Akekho unika self iqinisekisa eside lwemali ukunyakaza. Uma ekupheleni 2014, ochwepheshe abaningi ngokuqiniseka wagomela ruble ukushaywa ezingeni amayunithi eziyikhulu 1 dollar, manje umbono ishintshile. Abahlaziyi sithambekele bakholelwa ukuthi dollar uwela kanye usanethemba mkhuba. Ubulukhuni ukubikezela imbangela imisebenzi eminingi zokucabangela nge lwemali American, okuyinto ngokuya kusilela kuleli zwe bangaba imbangela ekushintshashintsheni abukhali. Dynamics of the dollar incike nokukhokhwa izikweletu yizinkampani ezinkulu Russian. Ngokwesibonelo, ngo-December ngonyaka owedlule futhi ngoJanuwari walo nyaka, sase sihlala yizigidi eziyizinkulungwane 32-33 zamadola ezikweletini. Ukuthengwa currency angaphandle emakethe interbank kuholela gxuma ezingcaphunweni futhi injabulo sabantu ngenxa yokuntuleka kwezinhlelo ezibanzi isinxephezelo Central Bank.

inqubomgomo Central Bank lungacacisa dollar

Ukuze okuningi kuthinta isinqumo Central Bank ukumnika ku ezimakethe zomhlaba jikelele. Naphezu kweqiniso lokuthi uhulumeni waseRussia ake lwemali ukuntanta ngokukhululekile, ke agodliwe ilungelo ulungise inani le-ruble ngokomthetho ezimweni ezimbi kakhulu. Nanjengoba eRussia enye yezindawo ezinkulu kakhulu izinqolobane igolide emhlabeni, sikwazi ukukhuluma ikhono wezwe wokuvimba lwemali kazwelonke kakhulu ngendlela edingekayo. Nganoma yisiphi isikhathi, Central Bank kungenzeka ulungise dollar. Uma kohlaka komgomo wokuboleka amabhange ngezimali uzobe egijima yokunyathelisa futhi izokhipha imali abangenangqondo, lwemali US ngokucijile fly up, esongela ukwehla of the ruble. Uma lokusakaza imali abangenangqondo isazoqhubeka uvalwe kulawulwa uhulumeni, angabhekwa nethemba beqinisa ruble nokwehla dollar sika.

Isibikezelo sezulu sezinsuku ngokulingene ukuthi ayemakhulu amathemba ababenawo

Kunezinhlobo ezintathu kuphela izinhlobo izibikezelo. Kuyinto ngokulinganisela zinikeza nethemba lokuhle futhi ngingenathemba. Uma ucabangela ngamunye izenzakalo ongakhetha, sikwazi ukukhuluma ngabe dollar uwela. okuhle Lokulingene Ngethemba-Russia nase-Europe ukwehluleka ukuthuthukisa umnotho oqinile ngaphandle amandla yasekhaya. Abahlaziyi usebenze ukuthi amanani aphansi uwoyela akuzuzisi kuwo wonke umhlaba, futhi ngokushesha izinto zizoba sizinze emakethe uwoyela embulungeni yonke, futhi emnothweni Russian. Bona uhlolisise dollar. Isibikezelo yokuma kwabo inkambo in ruble 38-42 ekupheleni 2015.

sokulindela okuhle isimo kanye dollar

Iqiniso lokuthi dollar uwela Bathi futhi bafe-hard lokuhle. Lokhu kungenxa kakhulu abamele apharathasi kukahulumeni nabantu eduze kwabo. Abanaso cabanga ngesimo sangempela, futhi kosopolitiki. umbono wabo wayeka lokuthi ekwindla ka uwoyela - endabeni uhulumeni wase-US kanye izandla abalingani babo. Umgomo abaphikisi - a ezivuna bezempi nabezombusazwe enye ukuphangwa ezivela eRussia. Ukungabi nangqondo ezenzekayo anjalo esikhathini esizayo kufanele zicaca ekupheleni ehlobo 2015. Ngokwalokho okubikezelwa, ngo-2016 izwe elisha ngeke ukuhlangabezana nezivakashi ngesikhathi isimo pre-esibucayi. I-Akhawunti ingathathwa kuphela yokuthi ngenxa ukuwa inani legolide black emakethe izwe ukuhlupheka Melika uqobo, njengoba uwoyela oluthambile akuyona ezishibhile ukuthuthukisa.

Pessimists - Abahlaziyi abaningi kanye nochwepheshe

Iqembu elikhulu kunawo wonke ochwepheshe ukholelwa ukuthi dollar, Central Bank ahlinzekwa namuhla ngesilinganiso 54,5, awasoze abuyela zangaphambi crisis endleleni. abahlaziyi Liberal-nomqondo ukhombe ekukhuleni lwemali ukuba uphawu ruble 100. Izizathu zalokhu bebona izinkokhelo esibucayi, isimo esibucayi esikweletu ucabanga inombolo eziningi amabhange kanye namabhizinisi. Sekube izinkulumo ukuthi iRussia angahlubula bebheke emnothweni umyalo ngisho ukhiqize format olusha ye-USSR. Ilinde nenhlekelele emangalisayo ezijulile kwenza qaphela yezinxushunxushu kwezenhlalo kanye umbukiso we sovereignties.

Lapha kubalulekile ukuze ubocoze futhi ifakazela yokuthi ayikho izibikezelo ezinkulu senziwe ezinyangeni eziyisithupha ezedlule, asizange sigcwaliseke nengxenye. Lokhu kunikeza isizathu esinengqondo sokukholelwa ukuthi ezithile, noma kungenzeka nakakhulu, ukubikezela esiqondisweni dollar akwenzi mqondo, ngoba iphukile eside ngqo isixhumanisi exchange kanye nokusebenza kwezomnotho.